Midterms 2026 War Room

1. 1The Trump administration sued California to block counting of alleged noncitizen mail ballots, after the Justice Department threatened legal action (PBS NewsHour).
2. 2Authorities in multiple states are investigating suspicious mailings, some containing white powder, sent to election offices and congressional offices (NPR).
3. 3Democrats hold a 3-point lead on the generic congressional ballot in a new AARP poll (The Hill).

AI summary of the latest headlines. Check the linked sources.

1. Wed 4 Nov

   01:00MEZ

   • Georgia SenateMedium count
   • Georgia Governor (open)Medium count

2. 01:30MEZ

   • North Carolina Senate (open)Fast count
   • Ohio Senate (special)Fast count

3. 02:00MEZ

   • Michigan Senate (open)Slow count
   • Maine SenateMedium count
   • New Hampshire Senate (open)Fast count
   • Pennsylvania's 7thSlow count
   • Pennsylvania's 10thSlow count
   • Michigan's 7thSlow count
   • Maine's 2nd (open)Medium count

4. 03:00MEZ

   • Iowa Senate (open)Fast count
   • Texas Senate (open)Medium count
   • Wisconsin Governor (open)Medium count
   • New York's 17thMedium count
   • Iowa's 1stFast count
   • Nebraska's 2nd (open)Fast count
   • Colorado's 8thMedium count

5. 04:00MEZ

   • Arizona GovernorSlow count
   • Arizona's 6thSlow count

6. 05:00MEZ

   • California's 13thSlow count

Times are when most of each state closes. Count speed is the historical pace of results.

• Georgia Senate

  D+9.6 · $40.5M

  100

• North Carolina Senate (open)

  D+9.4 · $45.6M

  100

• Arizona Governor

  D+9.5 · $9.5M

  100

• Nebraska's 2nd (open)

  D+8.0 · $3.2M

  100

• Arizona's 6th

  D+2.0* · $3.7M

  100

• New Hampshire Senate (open)

  D+7.0 · $11.2M

  97

• Ohio Senate (special)

  D+3.8 · $32.0M

  90

• California's 13th

  no polls · $2.8M

  87

• Texas Senate (open)

  D+2.3 · $20.9M

  86

• Pennsylvania's 10th

  D+3.0 · $4.7M

  79

• Pennsylvania's 7th

  D+5.0 · $5.0M

  74

• Maine's 2nd (open)

  R+10.0* · $2.7M

  72

• Colorado's 8th

  no polls · $4.3M

  62

• Michigan Senate (open)

  D+3.2 · $33.8M

  61

• Wisconsin Governor (open)

  D+3.0 · $7.0M

  52

• Iowa's 1st

  D+5.0 · $4.0M

  37

• Georgia Governor (open)

  R+1.7 · $7.9M

  35

• Maine Senate

  D+1.6 · $17.8M

  30

• Iowa Senate (open)

  D+0.5 · $14.3M

  27

• Michigan's 7th

  D+2.0* · $3.7M

  26

• New York's 17th

  D+2.0 · $5.6M

  20

Each dot is that signal's Democratic share. A high score means polls, markets and money disagree. * partisan poll. Polls: FiftyPlusOne averages, VoteHub (CC BY 4.0).